FIRE Calculator

How much do you need to save, to reach financial independence and retire early?

 

No one says you have to work until you’re 65. Or 60, or 50, or 40, for that matter.

A few savvy souls work because they love what they do, and plan to work as long as they possibly can. But most people work for income, so they can cover their living expenses.

Still, active income – income from working – isn’t the only type of income. Real estate investors, and the wealthy, know all too well that the best income is actually passive income. Income that arrives while you’re sleeping, playing with your kids, or traveling the world.

It could come from rental properties, of course. And we talk a lot about building passive income from rentals! But it’s not the only source of passive income; others include dividends from stocks, bonds, REITs (public and private), private notes, business income, and beyond.

With enough passive income, you can cover living expenses without working. When working becomes optional, you reach a state called financial independence: you can afford to live independently from any job.

Some people retire at that point, regardless of their age. Others keep working in some capacity, whether continuing their full-time job because they love it, or volunteering for a cause they believe in, or starting a new business, working a side gig, or starting a completely new post-FIRE career doing something they love.

Welcome to the FIRE movement: financial independence, retire early!

There’s just one minor, nagging detail: how much do you need to save, in order to reach financial independence and retire early? Use our free FIRE calculator to find out instantly.

(Note: FIRE calculator assumes annual compounding period.)

Definitions of FIRE Terms in the Calculator

Most of the fields above are self-explanatory. But a few might leave you scratching your head, if you’ve never used a financial independence/retire early calculator before. Use this quick-reference glossary whenever you get confused about a FIRE term, and don’t feel intimidated! The FIRE movement is a recent phenomenon, and the concepts are new to most people.

Total Target Monthly Income: This refers to the total amount of money you want to bring in each month from (mostly) passive sources, to consider yourself financially independent. Do not use your current monthly income here if you want to reach FIRE fast! This number should be based on your living expenses, not your current income; those should ideally be two very different numbers.

Expected Monthly Income from Rentals: How much you expect to bring in from rental properties each month post-FIRE, as a net monthly average. Remember, you need to deduct not only for regular monthly expenses like your mortgage payment, but also for irregular monthly expenses like maintenance and repairs, vacancy rate, and property management fees. If you’re new to rental investing, see this guide to calculating rental cash flow.

Expected Monthly Income from Side Gigs: Not everyone plans to continue working in some capacity after reaching financial independence, but many do. If you plan to bring in some extra money by working, after retiring early from your high-octane career, add that extra monthly income here.

Expected Monthly Income from Social Security: Depending on your age when you retire, you may also bring in Social Security income. If so, include it here.

Target Withdrawal Rate: While all of the above are pretty self-explanatory, withdrawal rates require some explanation. This is the percentage of your nest egg – your paper assets, including stocks, bonds, REITs, and funds – that you plan to withdraw each year to live on in retirement. If you’ve ever heard of the 4% Rule, then you’ve heard of withdrawal rates. The 4% Rule posits that you can withdraw 4% of your initial nest egg each year in retirement, and based on historical numbers, you can expect your paper assets to last at least 30 years with a 4% withdrawal rate. For people aiming for financial independence and retiring early, who want their nest egg to last more than 30 years, I recommend 3.5% (more on that shortly).

Retirement Horizon: The number of years between now and when you want to reach financial independence/retire early. If you want to reach FIRE within ten years, then enter “10.” Easy peasy.

Your Current Paper Assets: What you already have today. For instance, if you have $250,000, and you’re aiming for a target paper asset nest egg of $600,000, that will mean you have $350,000 to go, not the full $600,000. So enter what you have already, to help you calculate how much you need to invest every month to cover the remaining distance to your target.

Expected Return on Investment (ROI): What you believe you’ll earn on your future investments. Since 1928, the S&P 500 has returned around 10% per year on average. If you’re investing primarily in stocks, enter between 7-10%, depending on how conservative you want to be. Alternatively, you can also use this number to enter returns on real estate. Often the cash-on-cash returns from rental properties are higher than other types of investments – if you know what you’re doing! Use our free rental income calculator to run the cash-on-cash returns for any given rental property.

 

Choosing a Target Monthly Income for Retirement

Again, your post-FIRE income target is not the same as your current monthly income.

Instead, base it on your expected monthly living expenses. Keep in mind that those may or may not resemble your current living expenses. If you plan to live in the same house, and continue living a similar lifestyle, then you can use your current living expenses here.

But don’t fall into the trap of assuming your post-FIRE life will look exactly like your current one. You could move abroad, or to another state or city. If you quit your job, you won’t need to spend money on work clothes or on your daily commute anymore. Your lifestyle might look considerably different.

Plan out your post-financial independence or post-retirement lifestyle carefully, to get a good sense of exactly how much income you’ll need each month. And remember: the less you plan to spend, the less you need to save, and the faster you can reach financial independence! Toy around with the numbers in the FIRE calculator above to see just how much of a difference even $100/month in income has on your target nest egg.

As a final thought, keep in mind you can get creative with slimming your expenses, both now and in retirement. The classic example? Reduce or eliminate your housing payment by house hacking. Check out our free house hacking calculator to run the numbers on any given house hacking scenario.

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FIRE Income: Plan for Many Sources

Too many people pursuing FIRE focus only on the nest egg of paper assets that they need. Don’t make that mistake.

In addition to stocks, bonds, and other paper assets, brainstorm as many sources of income as you can. Obviously we focus heavily on rental income here at SparkRental, which can provide an excellent source of revenue in retirement. It also complements income from stocks well, given real estate’s lower volatility but lower liquidity, and how real estate markets move independently from the stock market. More on real estate vs. stocks here.

But additional retirement income doesn’t end with rental properties. Maybe you flip houses for fun in retirement? Do some freelance writing? Tutor children like my mother does? Pour wines at a local winery, or some other fun, laid back job?

One of the enormous advantages to retiring young is that you don’t have to rely 100% on your nest egg and investments for income. You can work as much or as little as you want, and bring in as much or as little extra money as you need.

That also makes you less susceptible to sequence risk, which means you don’t necessarily have to shift your asset allocation away from stocks and toward bonds.

 

Unconventional Advice: Forgo Bonds When You Retire Young

In the old model of retirement, when people turned 65, had a Friday office party with cake, then walked out the door forever, they needed bonds for safety and security. The stock market might crash right after they retired (better known as sequence risk), and their entire nest egg were in stocks, they’d be in trouble.

But if you retire at 40, with diverse income streaming in from rental properties, stocks, and a side gig or two, you don’t face the same sequence risk. Sure, the stock market might crash early in your “retirement” – but you’re not really retired, are you?  

For starters, you can always just pick up a little more work from your fun retirement gig work. If you work two days each week at the local winery, maybe you pick up an extra day or two. Or maybe you start doing a little consulting on the side, or freelance work, or flip a house or two, or whatever you love doing that can bring in some extra cash while the stock market corrects itself and starts rising again.

Another option: you can always lean more heavily on your rental income. Perhaps you defer some maintenance on a rental property until next year (when the stock market has hopefully recovered), or perhaps you convince a wavering tenant to renew their lease agreement for another year by offering not to raise the rent.

Because the simple fact is that bond yields in this century have been terrible. At the time of this writing, the 10-Year Treasury rate is an abysmal 1.74%. You would literally lose money by investing in Treasury bonds, since inflation has risen faster than that over the last year.

It’s one of the great perks of pursuing financial independence/early retirement at a young age: you can leave most or even all your paper investments in stocks. And, of course, bend the old rules with rental income.

 

What Withdrawal Rate Should I Plan For?

The short answer: if you retire young, and want your nest egg to last indefinitely, then plan on a 3.5% withdrawal rate. If you retire at the normal age of 65, then you can consider the standard 4% Rule. A 4% withdrawal rate historically leaves your nest egg intact for at least 30 years, but may not last longer than that.

Now for the long answer. Financial experts look at historical stock and bond returns to determine how much a retiree can withdraw from their accounts in retirement, as a percentage of their total nest egg. The classic 4% Rule stated that if you withdraw 4% of your nest egg in the first year of retirement, and raised your withdrawal each year only enough to account for inflation, then your nest egg should last at least 30 years.

For example, if you retire with a million dollars in paper assets (stocks and bonds), you can withdraw $40,000 to live on, in the first year of retirement. After that, you can raise that amount to cover inflation, but no more.

If you only need your nest egg to last 20 years, rather than 30, you can safely withdraw 5%.

And if you want your nest egg to last forever, you should only withdraw 3.5%

Why 3.5%? Because Certified Financial Planner Michael Kitces has mathematically demonstrated that with a 3.5% withdrawal rate, your portfolio of stocks and bonds will never run out of money.

At least, not based on historical returns. An alien invasion could destroy the global financial system, and then you’d be screwed.

In personally plan on a 3.5% withdrawal rate when I run my own numbers in the FI calculator.

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We compare several buy-and-rehab lenders and several long-term landlord loans on LTV, interest rates, closing costs, income requirements and more.

Where Do Rentals Fit in the FI Calculations?

Rental properties often offer higher cash-on-cash returns than paper assets. That means it takes less cash on your part, to create the same amount of income.

There are a few reasons for that. On a fundamental level, real estate investing comes with several barriers to entry, preventing the average Joe Schmo from competing with you. Investing in rental properties requires a degree of knowledge, and some work to find good deals on investment properties.

It also takes capital – lots of capital. Unless you buy the cheapest real estate in the US, you’re looking at a $50,000 down payment to put down 20% on a median home. And that’s if you use a rental property loan, rather than buying in cash.

Which raises another reason why rental properties often come with better cash-on-cash returns: leverage. You can use other people’s money to build your own portfolio of assets, and if you use strategies like the BRRRR method, you can even buy rental properties with no money down (at least after refinancing them).

Experienced real estate investors routinely see cash-on-cash returns in the 10-20% range. Given that you can accurately predict real estate cash flow, and don’t need to worry about sequence risk with rentals, that makes them powerful allies in the quest for FIRE.

 

FI vs. FIRE: What’s the Difference? Do I Have to Retire?

I use the two acronyms, FI (financial independence) and FIRE (financial independence, retire early) interchangeably. They refer to the same goal: the ability to cover your living expenses with passive income from investments.

Whether you actually retire or not, upon reaching FI, is immaterial. You may decide to keep on working indefinitely. Or you might buy a houseboat and sail the rivers of Europe for the rest of your days.

Don’t get hung up on your exact retirement date. Focus on becoming financially independent, and from there you can choose to do whatever you like.

 

Final Thoughts

When you aim to retire early, you make a tradeoff. You sacrifice the power of compounding across many decades, and make up the difference with a higher savings rate.

Imagine you want to reach a million dollars in your nest egg. If you have 40 years, earning an 8% return, it only takes $287/month in savings to reach $1,000,000. If you want to reach a million dollars in ten years, it takes $5,467/month in savings.

That’s more than 19 times the monthly savings, in order to reach your goal four times faster.

As you play with the FIRE calculator above, try different rates of return, different income targets, different retirement horizon timelines. It is absolutely, 100% possible to reach financial independence in ten years. But it takes an exceptionally high savings rate to do it.

Embrace a frugal lifestyle, and you’ll be amazed at how quickly you can reach FIRE – and then do whatever you want with the rest of your life.

 

What’s your retirement horizon? What role do rental properties play in your financial independence plan? Most of all, what can we at SparkRental do to help you get there? Let us know below!

 

More Outside-the-Box Reads for Free Thinkers:

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The Charming & Witty Founders of Spark Rental

Denise Supplee Spark Rental
Denise Supplee is a landlord and former property manager, with over a decade's experience in legal forms for landlords and property managers. She's also a champion mom and licensed realtor.


Brian Davis - Spark Rental
G. Brian Davis is a landlord and real estate investor with 15 rental properties. Husband, rental industry expert and compulsive traveler, Brian visited ten countries last year.


Our goal in building Spark Rental? To help other landlords & property managers automate their rentals like we've done, so they can spend more time with the people and passions they love.

FAQ About the Free Rental Property Calculator

What’s the difference between cap rate and ROI?

Capitalization rate, or cap rate, does not include financing as a factor. It’s a way to compare several properties solely on their non-mortgage expenses and income.

In our rental property calculator, we calculate cap rate for you, but we also calculate cash-on-cash return on investment (ROI). That looks exclusively at the return you can expect on the cash you put up for the property, thus including your financing as part of the equation.

What are “cash-on-cash” returns?

Cash-on-cash returns are the return on investment (ROI) you can expect to earn on just the cash you invest. It takes both the interest payments you’ll be making and the lower cash required into consideration.

Ultimately, it’s the amount of money you can expect to earn back every year in cash flow, as a percentage of the total cash you invested in the project. If you invested $20,000 toward the down payment and closing costs, and you earn $2,000 a year in cash flow, that’s a 10% cash-on-cash return.

It’s a great way to compare the potential return from a rental property to returns on any other investment, such as stocks or bonds, which is why we focus on it in our rental property ROI calculator.

Why should I include property management costs in my rental income calculations even if I plan to manage the property myself?

Property management costs are a labor expense, whether you’re performing the labor or someone else is. How can you compare the returns on a rental property to, say, a stock, if you don’t account for the labor required by one of them but not the other?

Besides, you never know when you’ll become unable or unwilling to continue managing the rental property.

We strongly encourage you to include property management costs when running the numbers in the rental property profit calculator.

How is this rental property calculator free? Do I need to sign up for anything?

You do not need to sign up for anything. It’s free and open to the public to use.

We do, of course, hope you check out some of our other free landlord resources while you’re at it!

How can I raise my rental property ROI?

Now you’re asking good questions! One option is of course raising the rent. Follow these tips when you raise the rent, to avoid losing your tenants.

You can also exercise these tenant retention tips, to reduce turnovers.

Finally, try these ideas for earning more money from your rentals.

What is “annual yield”?

Annual yield is your annual income for the property, as a percentage of the cash you had to invest to buy it. For example, if you invested $20,000 of your own cash, and earn $2,000 a year in net cash flow, that’s a 10% annual yield, also known as cash-on-cash return.

See? Not so scary. When you plug in the numbers in the rental property ROI calculator above, you’ll see this number spit out at the bottom.

How much are typical rental property expenses?

As a general rule of thumb, expect your rental property expense to run around 50% of the rent (AKA the 50% Rule).

But those numbers vary by property, by neighborhood, by city. Higher-end properties tend to have lower relative expenses compared to lower-end properties, due to lower vacancy rates, lower crime rates, lower turnover rates, etc.

But don’t lean on the 50% Rule when evaluating properties. It’s a quick shorthand, but because each property is unique, make sure you run exact numbers using the rental property calculator above.

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